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The following are monthly actual and forecast demand levels for May through December for units of a product manufactured by the D. Bishop Company in Des​ Moines:_______.
Month Actual Demand Forecast Demand
May 108 100
June 80 104
July 108 101
August 118 104
September 105 104
October 114 104
November 130 105
December 120 107
For the given​ forecast, the tracking signal​ = _______ MADs ​(round your response to two decimal​ places).

Respuesta :

Answer:

4.24

Explanation:

The computation of tracking signal is shown below:-

Month Actual Demand(dt) Forecast Demand (ft) error    (dt - ft)

May            108                          100                   8                 8

June           80                           104                   -24              24

July            108                            101                  7                  7

August       118                            104                  14                 14

September 105                          104                   1                  1

October       114                          104                   10                10

November    130                         105                  25               25

December   120                          107                 13                 13

Total                                                                   54               102

MADs = 102 ÷ 8

= 12.75

Tracking  signal = 54 ÷ 12.75

= 4.24

The tracking signal for the actual and forecast demand levels for May through December for D. Bishop Company is 4.24.

What is a tracking signal?

A tracking signal is the ratio of the cumulative sum of the deviations between the estimated forecasts and the actual values of demand to the mean absolute deviations (MADs).

The tracking signal determines the larger deviation (in both plus and minus) of Error in Forecast.

The tracking signal can be calculated with this formula:

Tracking Signal = Accumulated Forecast Errors/Mean Absolute Deviation.

What is Mean Absolute Deviation?

The mean absolute deviation is the average of values or more specifically, the difference between the actual values and their average value.  The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is used for calculating demand variability.

Data and Calculations:

Month          Actual              Forecast              Error    Difference

               Demand(dt)          Demand (ft)                        (dt - ft)

May                 108                      100                  8                 8

June                80                       104               -24               24

July                108                        101                  7                 7

August            118                       104                 14               14

September    105                       104                  1                  1

October          114                       104                10                10

November     130                       105               25               25

December    120                        107                13                13

Total                                                                54             102

MADs (Mean Absolute Deviations) =  12.75 (102 ÷ 8)

Tracking  signal = 4.24 (54 ÷ 12.75)

Thus, the tracking signal for the actual and forecast demand levels for May through December for D. Bishop Company is 4.24.

Learn more about the tracking signal at https://brainly.com/question/24099922